Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.901827 1.103384 1.318651 1.563666 1.832912 2.118046 2.441146
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.671896 0.952169 1.274393 1.663695 2.113571 2.610363 3.194012
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.527198 0.839475 1.218949 1.696715 2.267036 2.913133 3.688339
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.406749 0.733460 1.153487 1.703367 2.379203 3.161904 4.117681
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.294310 0.614090 1.051789 1.648407 2.403008 3.295357 4.402811
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.208563 0.513882 0.960797 1.594856 2.418784 3.411799 4.662005
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.149361 0.439863 0.894685 1.564382 2.455690 3.547553 4.938844
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.116881 0.403002 0.876628 1.594324 2.566644 3.771872 5.320814
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.087070 0.362390 0.847354 1.604649 2.649215 3.959183 5.656826
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057439 0.310753 0.793770 1.575358 2.675744 4.073759 5.902148
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.050976 0.311662 0.826069 1.670619 2.869339 4.400008 6.408947
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.044924 0.311654 0.856036 1.762222 3.058230 4.720905 6.910187
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.038669 0.311494 0.889742 1.866775 3.275438 5.091596 7.491112
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032564 0.309666 0.920576 1.968395 3.491226 5.464098 8.079298
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022552 0.288119 0.912283 2.007955 3.619696 5.722926 8.524647
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012967 0.258105 0.884045 2.014140 3.700344 5.919290 8.891869
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004259 0.212162 0.817029 1.953993 3.684155 5.986998 9.095351
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000517 0.172091 0.753926 1.894778 3.665450 6.048641 9.289017
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.143255 0.708970 1.861174 3.680157 6.151541 9.532355
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.131989 0.703653 1.894223 3.792053 6.384203 9.942235
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.117245 0.686748 1.905625 3.871150 6.572519 10.295175
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.095799 0.646783 1.873284 3.883172 6.669181 10.529194
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.100653 0.682276 1.978370 4.103216 7.049239 11.131533